Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 89.685066 99.980385 110.487571 121.982880 134.175622 146.694245 160.490486
2025-02-02 75.530970 90.591631 106.607008 124.784405 144.726171 165.829209 189.741853
2025-02-09 64.596084 82.069457 101.246191 123.607531 148.731082 175.871461 207.195896
2025-02-16 56.111994 75.184673 96.722498 122.435855 151.914072 184.304367 222.245822
2025-02-23 50.445447 70.889460 94.561970 123.396682 157.011034 194.458912 238.845391
2025-03-02 45.114024 66.467837 91.805852 123.261892 160.504831 202.518382 252.845000
2025-03-09 40.975078 63.129082 90.020348 123.983739 164.750771 211.244172 267.443960
2025-03-16 36.398049 58.853914 86.777247 122.677429 166.373018 216.751825 278.194334
2025-03-23 33.735188 56.843140 86.164599 124.415268 171.494912 226.245186 293.487439
2025-03-30 31.498803 55.217005 85.894165 126.456356 176.891813 236.001265 309.050859
2025-04-06 28.345140 52.089959 83.498928 125.675885 178.725174 241.437901 319.475528
2025-04-13 24.802408 48.134889 79.794404 123.040615 178.117303 243.832342 326.204254
2025-04-20 23.914331 48.006108 81.206919 127.022851 185.800957 256.310358 345.063595
2025-04-27 22.675998 47.262094 81.725496 129.808991 191.979325 266.982833 361.810010
2025-05-04 20.238068 44.491928 79.307102 128.616347 193.045498 271.365432 370.965174
2025-05-11 18.024227 41.883666 76.971560 127.414099 194.005020 275.547807 379.827577
2025-05-18 16.644329 40.510571 76.311659 128.398702 197.721200 283.096452 392.752283
2025-05-25 15.069143 38.674570 74.882975 128.260577 199.929780 288.740657 403.339554
2025-06-01 13.853978 37.351588 74.134701 129.000033 203.240819 295.734205 415.565767
2025-06-08 12.230539 35.146164 71.954410 127.661839 203.760379 299.187134 423.418241
2025-06-15 11.463783 34.445990 72.019069 129.442064 208.378650 307.788348 437.613911
2025-06-22 10.819033 33.920188 72.318218 131.532637 213.400069 316.901246 452.455977
2025-06-29 9.616723 32.183131 70.638285 130.733281 214.515784 321.033831 461.113152